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member
10/03/11 9:53PM
RE: Updated Thoughts?
13
The world has changed since my write-up. The Russell Microcap Consumer Staples index (RGMICS on Bloomberg) has dropped over 28% from its peak on July 1 and Arabica coffee (KC1 Commodity on Bloomberg) has dropped... login to read the rest
Not surprising about the insider selling. They've seen their share price rise 7-fold since the beginning of the year and triple since the day before Q2 earnings.
This was very high on my list of stocks... login to read the rest
I dont like to short stocks on valuation alone. Especially with a microcap company where the executives own 43 percent. I prefer to short where there's overvaluation plus a catalyst to crack the valuation. The... login to read the rest
I recommend exiting JVA. I sold my position at $16.50. Stock isn't expensive, but on balance, the margin of safety has shrunken dramatically from when I made the recommendation on May 30, 2011. Stock is... login to read the rest
I've had a chance to review the JVA 10-Q that was filed yesterday for the fiscal 2nd Q/E 30Apr11. The pro-forma results of ops show sales, net income and EPS of the company if the... login to read the rest
Sloppy on my part. Chart on message I just posted it says "Q2E 30Apr11 annualized" It's not Q2E, it's Q2 actual annualized.
I'm gonna go play The Coffee Song by Frank Sinatra a few times now.
"da
Coffee Holding Co. (JVA) reported fiscal Q@ results this morning. Sales in Q2 were up 87% from higher prices, add'l sales of green coffee to new customers, and inclusion of results from the OPTCO acquisition... login to read the rest
In my bullet points I said:
"2nd lowest EV/Revenue multiple in the sector (.86x compares to 1.83x comps median)".
That was a typo, JVA actually trades at .48x revenues compared to 1.83x for the peers. The
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