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28
member
6/19/14 3:27PM
RE: Author Exit Recommendation
27
I am closing this cause I didn't realize it wasn't closed.
Not everyone know this, but the Close Button wasn't always on VIC. So some obvious distortions in individual results (good and bad) for anybody posting
Just returned from a 90 minute soiree into the Saratoga Tuesday Morning store. Our associates visited some other stores around the Bay Area as well. This store was a little smaller than their usual size.... login to read the rest
Could the difference in avg customer income be due to the fact that Ross has not expanded yet into the Northeast? Tuesday Morning is already in the NE so its average benefits from all... login to read the rest
Tuesday morning claims its customer has a median income household income of $65k. This is derived through a temporally independent series of randomized, stratified, statstically significant samples of a team of in-house actuaries' Free... login to read the rest
TUES claims to have a higher-end shopper. I was sketpical because the very few stores I have seen have been in less-than-premium spots (I'd be surprised if the stores I saw naturally got higher... login to read the rest
For those who don't follow the story, TUES reported on Jun 12 that comps for Q2 were trending in the -8 to 9.5% range, with earnings expectations of 7 to 10c (1c options) vs 25c... login to read the rest
I shouldn't have posted an idea that had a really solid chance of going down unless it was a short. The bloated inventory, which I took special care to mention, clearly indicated that there... login to read the rest
I've enjoyed the lively discussion regarding the product overlap between TUES and the TJX/ROSS closeout kings. Without a site like this, I'd probably have to buy a condo in a retirement community to get... login to read the rest
I read my earlier post and saw that I wrote the wrong thing. I meant that one of the Tuesday Morning (NOT Ross) stores I went to was dead. That was where I
one other thing I forgot to mention, and I would take this with a grain of salt: when I was in the stores I was mostly surprised that this stuff turns as fast as it... login to read the rest
Continuing on other random observations:
The Ross stores are much larger and although most of the square footage is dedicated to clothing, there was still plenty of space dedicated to Tuesday's type of inventory. And,... login to read the rest
I enjoyed the tidbits so I'm sad to hear they're the last. I happened to stop by a couple stores this weekend so I'll return the favor.
ROST does have a fair amount... login to read the rest
3. TJX and Ross have scale advantages over TUES. I'm sure this helps them in purchasing but it also helps in advertising. TJX and Ross's advertising expense equals about 1% of sales... login to read the rest
Hi Paul, I've liked your writeups on retailers in the past and I happened to be looking at this one, too. I've been compiling a list of concerns. I thought I'd share and... login to read the rest
nothing like the virtue of timing - post this idea, have it go down 6% (so far) on the CFO's resignation and a downgrade.
If you follow retail, this is getting to the 'piling... login to read the rest
-1. Besides BLI, what other peers
operate in this space and how do they compare on an EV/Revenue and EV/EBITDA
basis?
IMO BLI is not a peer. They sell discounted toys, that’s true, but little... login to read the rest
-1. Madison Dearborn's
Ownership - Do you view this as a positive (a well respected PE firm that still has
significant skin in the game and 3 Board seats) or a negative (a PE firm... login to read the rest
Paul,
Have some questions:
1. Besides BLI, what other peers operate in this space and how do they compare on an EV/Revenue and EV/EBITDA basis?
2. Any insight on how they have been able to achieve average profit... login to read the rest
Thanks for the posting.
I happened to meet mgmt once about 2 years ago - they seemed very capable so the inventory issues and 50% decline in the shares is a bit surprising... login to read the rest
Are you sure you want to close this position Tuesday Morning?
By closing position, I’m notifying VIC Members that at today’s market price, I no longer am recommending this position.
Flag Tuesday Morning for Removal
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