To say that the company is "honest" is complete garbage. If they were "honest" then they are incompetent. If they aren't incompetent, then they are dishonest, but they cannot be both honest and... login to read the rest
Molly,
I was wondering where you got your estimate for the liquidity porblem if
all the loans with recourse are brought on balance sheet. It looks like the after
tax write down, in the worst... login to read the rest
Great write up. Hope the discusson isn't dead
Two questions
Where in your valuation do you account for what Doral pays to originate the nonconforming loan? They shouldn't be granted a 7.5% coupon should they? Shouldn't it... login to read the rest
Excellent write-up. I had not done the level of work you did when I read your report, but I have just spent some time looking at drl. I am coming up with an adjusted... login to read the rest
I owned this from 28 to 48.50 and fortunately sold. After reading this - it will go down as the luckiest money I have ever made - though I sold for the right reasons.... login to read the rest
There are 2 recent Doral posts to the site, one long and one short. Please post all messages to the previous 3/12 Doral posting:
http://www.valueinvestorsclub.com/value2/Members/view-thread.asp?id=1821&more=dtrue
I think the primary catalyst for this will be investors continuing to figure out the accouting game going on here. Over the past two months the market's knowledge of this company has expanded dramatically... login to read the rest
VALUATION:
Doral trades at $39, or 8.7x street 05 earnings expectations of 4.50. As I
believe Doral’s economic earnings are somewhere well below half that amount I would say
that I don’t believe it is... login to read the rest
HOW IS THE THESIS INVALIDATED?
There is one key point that could invalidate this thesis. Doral has lately been
claiming to have embedded caps in their structured loan sales. Because the funding
is floating... login to read the rest
(***due to VIC length constraints this write-up is a continuation of the previous
posting***)
ASSUMPTION RELAXATION AND OTHER SIGNS OF STRESS:
Many signs of stress began to appear in Doral’s financials towards the end of
2004. ... login to read the rest
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