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AUTHOR
DATE
SUBJECT
16
member
1/06/25 11:27AM
Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: CEO leaving
15
BlueFIN,
I asked management 2-3 weeks ago about the weak credit card data not being in line with their optimism. They told me that a lot had to do with YoY comps, and the remainder of... login to read the rest
At least management is now doubling down on their growth story with a total of $1.5m in repurchases from 4 different directors, and an upsized repurchase authorization despite the fact that there was still $112m... login to read the rest
The CC data called this quarter within 100 bps so not sure either but I guess I would take the CC data over mgmt speak.
I thought this video that Hidden shared - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LFaxqJJLOZc - was great. I... login to read the rest
"I have no idea why they spoke so positively. The CC data looks awful."
So either management is lying about Q4 being in line with Q3, a lie that will become apparent in less than 3... login to read the rest
The company is responding to the value prop issue by offering discount. The Eat & Play combo costs $20 and comes with food and a $10 game credit. Winter Pass offers unlimited game play until
The issue here is simple: the value proposition is fundamentally broken. At D&B, games cost around 8 chips per session. If you spend $60 on a card with 320 chips, you’re getting roughly 40–50 plays.... login to read the rest
I have no idea why they spoke so positively. The CC data looks awful.
The CEO leaving plus the CC data really diving makes me think this could end up being a zero. No position in... login to read the rest
Thanks BlueFIN for sharing the credit card data. I don't have access to this data, so I don't have a good feeling for whether this data captures all stores, or if it only captures a... login to read the rest
Does the CEO leaving kill the thesis here?
The credit card data called for a revenue miss for this quarter (it called it almost spot on) but what is more concerning is that it is calling... login to read the rest
Bailey,
Thanks for the writeup, always enjoy reading about this sector.
The thesis is straightforward, but I worry about the tail risk of new competition that eats away at the important teen/young adult demo that keeps D&Bs... login to read the rest
thank you for the write-up. this has not really participated in the recovery of some consumer discretionary names.
A general question-why do you think the new management team is a good management team.
It does compete with staying home as every outing does. It totally competes with a movie but depending on the demo it could totally compete with other things. If you are a parent trying to... login to read the rest
Comps across casual dining, fast food, amusement parks, Bowlero and Topgolf, etc. all weakned in the first quarter. It's macro. I think certain elements of the way D&B has been undermanaged create an easy comp... login to read the rest
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