|Shares Out. (in M):||75||P/E||17.1x||13.6x|
|Market Cap (in $M):||1,730||P/FCF||14.0x||11.0x|
|Net Debt (in $M):||-336||EBIT||172||192|
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Any device that gets plugged into the network needs an identifier to be able to communicate with other devices. As an example, a smartphone that is able to place phone calls, send text messages, browse the Internet, and send and receive email needs an identifier for each one of those functions. Neustar's database is the receptacle for those identifiers. To be able to properly route a text message or phone call the CSP servicing the device must access a copy of Neustar's databases to find the identifier for the device or devices that are the recipients of the phone call, thereby making Neustar's databases essential for any type of communication. Besides connecting devices through disparate networks, all number portability in the U.S. and Canada is enabled by Neustar's databases. The annual fixed-fee contracts generate steady revenue as can be gleaned in the following paragraphs from Neustar's March 2010 10-Q:
The Company provides number portability administration center services (NPAC Services) which include wireline and wireless number portability, implementation of the allocation of pooled blocks of telephone numbers and network management services in the United States pursuant to seven contracts with North American Portability Management LLC (NAPM), an industry group that represents all telecommunications service providers in the United States. The aggregate fees for transactions processed under these contracts are determined by an annual fixed-fee pricing model under which the annual fixed-fee (Base Fee) was set at $340.0 million and $362.1 million in 2009 and 2010, respectively, and is subject to an annual price escalator of 6.5% in subsequent years. These contracts also provide for a fixed credit of $40.0 million in 2009, $25.0 million in 2010 and $5.0 million in 2011, which will be applied to reduce the Base Fee for the applicable year. Additional credits of up to $15.0 million annually in 2009, 2010 and 2011 may be earned if the customers under these contracts reach certain levels of aggregate telephone number inventories and adopts and implements certain IP fields and functionality. To the extent any available additional credits expire unused at the end of the year, they will be recognized in revenue at that time. The Company determines the fixed and determinable fee under these contracts on an annual basis at the beginning of each year and recognizes this fee on a straight-line basis over twelve months.
For 2009, the Company concluded that the fixed and determinable fee equaled $285.0 million, which represented the Base Fee of $340.0 million reduced by the $40.0 million fixed credit and $15.0 million of available additional credits. During 2009, the Company's carrier customers adopted and implemented the requisite IP fields and functionality, and as a result earned $7.5 million of the additional credits for each of 2009, 2010 and 2011. However, the customers did not reach the levels of aggregate telephone number inventories required to earn additional credits and as a result, the Company recognized $7.5 million of additional revenue in the fourth quarter of 2009. These contracts also enable the Company's customers to earn credits if the volume of transactions in a given year is above or below the contractually established volume range for that year. The determination of credits earned based on transaction volume is done annually at the end of the year and these credits are applied to the following year's invoices. There were no credits earned in 2009 by the Company's customers for transaction volumes above or below the contractually established volume range for 2009. For 2010, the fixed and determinable fee equals $322.1 million, which represents the Base Fee of $362.1 million, reduced by the $25.0 million fixed credit and $15.0 million of additional credits. The Company records the fixed and determinable fee as revenue earned in its Carrier Services operating segment.
The amount of revenue derived under the Company's contracts with NAPM was approximately $74.1 million and $84.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2009 and 2010, respectively.
|Earnings Model||CY 06||CY 07||CY 08||CY 09||CY 10||CY 11||CY 12||CY 13||CY 14||CY 15|
|(Three months ended)|
|Revenue growth (yoy)||28.90%||13.90%||-1.73%||8.97%||8.52%||4.80%||6.50%||6.50%||6.50%|
|Statement of earnings|
|(In Thousands, except per share data)||Actual||Actual||Actual||Actual||Estimate||Estimate||Estimate||Estimate||Estimate||Estimate|
|Percent of Revenue|
|Infrastructure & other||51.9%||60.0%||60.1%||59.8%||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.|
|Carrier Services (Reported Q1-2010 onwards)||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||77.7%||77.7%||77.1%||77.1%||77.1%||77.1%|
|Enterprise Services (Reported Q1-2010 onwards)||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||22.3%||22.3%||22.9%||22.9%||22.9%||22.9%|
|GAAP gross profit||246,851||334,224||383,256||367,125||403,015||434,574||458,423||485,050||516,578||550,156|
|Income (loss) from operations (EBIT)||122,623||149,646||69,106||167,558||172,442||192,046||203,768||222,756||246,415||279,993|
|GAAP operating income||122,623||149,646||69,106||167,558||172,442||192,046||203,768||222,756||246,415||279,993|
|Earnings (loss) before income taxes (EBT)||125,252||153,111||65,981||169,006||172,084||191,688||203,410||222,398||246,057||279,635|
|Net income before unusual charges||73,899||92,335||4,294||101,141||104,247||116,163||122,046||133,439||147,634||167,781|
|EPS before unusual charges (Basic)||1.02||1.21||0.06||1.36||1.40||1.55||1.62||1.77||1.95||2.20|
|EPS before unusual charges (Diluted)||0.94||1.16||0.06||1.34||1.38||1.53||1.60||1.74||1.92||2.17|
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