MISTRAS GROUP INC MG
March 08, 2022 - 10:52pm EST by
Pop4Pres
2022 2023
Price: 6.28 EPS 0.67 0
Shares Out. (in M): 30 P/E 9.4 0
Market Cap (in $M): 185 P/FCF 0 0
Net Debt (in $M): 251 EBIT 0 0
TEV (in $M): 436 TEV/EBIT 0 0

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Description

Business Overview

  • Offers field inspections, lab QA/QC, maintenance, engineering consulting, access, data management and services, montioring, and equipment solutions for maintaining safety and uptime for industrial and civil assets
  • 80% of gross profit comes from domestic services, 18% is international services, and the remainder is products predominantly in the U.S.
  • The companies' primary customers are in O&G (57% of 2020 revenue), aerospace & defense (12%), and industrials (11%), with the remainder in power generation & transmission, other process industries, infrastructure/research/engineering
  • The company has primarily been focused on non-destructive testing but is increasingly offering integrated solutions that include mechanical maintenance, monitoring, digital and online access and reporting, etc. Bundling of multiple service lines creates stickier relationships
  • The founder and chairman owns 30% of shares

Trade

  • This is a PA trade as a play on a business with high exposure to O&G and aerospace & defense whose stock has languished despite supportive end markets
  • MG has a consistent record of generating FCF, and shares trade near their lowest multiples as a public company
  • On trough FCF in the pre-covid period of $21mm, the yield is ~11%

Valuation

  • If the company simply returns to pre-covid levels of revenue at 10% EBITDA margin and converts that to FCF at 50% as it has done in the past and gets an 7x multiple, then shares have ~40% upside
  • Any benefits from expansion beyond NDT, or increasing penetration of digital reporting platforms 

Risk

  • International exposure is 18% of GP, which could be impacted by events in Europe
  • Small-cap with leverage
I do not hold a position with the issuer such as employment, directorship, or consultancy.
I and/or others I advise do not hold a material investment in the issuer's securities.

Catalyst

Free cash flow

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