Amazon will move into Macy’s building in landmark Seattle real estate deal
Amazon is moving into the top floor of Macy's in Seattle that it sold to Starwood Capital Group
https://www.geekwire.com/2017/amazon-will-move-macys-building-landmark-seattle-real-estate-deal/
Any update post Q2 earnings? It looks like they cut operating EPS guidance by $0.20 for the year by maintianing guidance including RE gains and increasing expected RE gains (to $275-$300mm from $180-$200mm). Excl. RE... login to read the rest
All makes sense simplistically looking at it, but paying 0 for a business with $400 million of after-tax cash flow is still relatively cheap. That could be worth 8x that cash flow amount perhaps? Plus... login to read the rest
"You bring up interesting points about the real estate value. If it is true, does that not mean you are getting the whole retail business for free? Even rent-adjusting it, one would have to assume... login to read the rest
Hi nychrg,
I'm getting very similar upside to you, with a much more simplistic analysis. Because the public market almost never gives a company credit for real estate value unless their is some type of transformational... login to read the rest
rasputin998, please see our answers below:
Agree with the main points of your thesis. Some open questions/concerns we have:
Could you provide more detail on how you are estimating RE value? Presumably, Starboard wouldn’t have sold their... login to read the rest
Hi banjo1055, please see answers to your questions below.
Any inisight into why the sale price for this key real estate asset was so low? It went for $59m, or just $47 / sq ft.... login to read the rest
Hi beethoven,
We are not overly bullish on an operating turnaround for M, nor is that necessary to generate a healthy return on this investment. The company needs to stabilize the business and be prepared to reduce... login to read the rest
Hi Shooter,
Hopefully the links below will help clarify this term for you and why we think Macy’s is a “world class retailer”.
"world class retailer"
What does this even mean?
See below:
http://www.businessreviewaustralia.com/marketing/827/10-things-world-class-retailers-do-different
Also, Macy’s Herald Square is one of the top 10... login to read the rest
Hi pfq783,
Please see responses below:
I think the idea has a lot of potential, but I wonder if it will be mismanaged. $1B per year on capex and capitalized software vs. a $7B cap / $12B... login to read the rest
Hi blaueskalt,
Please see responses below:
Anyone care to defend the $21bn real estate valuation? The $1,850psf for 2.2mn sqft @ Herald Square is higher than trophy midtown office buildings, while the downtown Minneapolis building--representing 20% of... login to read the rest
Speaking of world class, here's the beginning of Mattel's press release from today. Check out the last sentence. If anyone knows what a world-class experience in China is, please let me know. I'd like to... login to read the rest
Hey Skeptic,
I'll chime in with the "other side." But first let me say that I've been fully "Mungerized," in that I've found through my own investment experience that "it's better to own a great business... login to read the rest
You bring up interesting points about the real estate value. If it is true, does that not mean you are getting the whole retail business for free? Even rent-adjusting it, one would have to assume... login to read the rest
Speaking of world class, here's the beginning of Mattel's press release from today. Check out the last sentence. If anyone knows what a world-class experience in China is, please let me know. I'd like to... login to read the rest
Anyone care to defend the $21bn real estate valuation? The $1,850psf for 2.2mn sqft @ Herald Square is higher than trophy midtown office buildings, while the downtown Minneapolis building--representing 20% of the downtown square footage--sold... login to read the rest
First, a price target a couple of years out, and how you got to the valuation would be helpful. Thanks.
I attended their Investor Day in person as I wanted to have a front row seat... login to read the rest
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