Nice one. CRSR has been amazingly stubborn despite the large Q3 revenue and profitability miss, guess it's a function of immense short interest, oh well..
Thanks very much Bismarck. I didn't realize Taiwan publicly traded co have to report monthly revenue, this is very useful in general to traffic many supply chain stuff
BTW, since not everyone reads Chinese (I was only... login to read the rest
Hey Chalkbaggery,
No problem. You can find monthly revenue data on a site they call MOPS.
Link is here: https://emops.twse.com.tw/server-java/t58query
Seacrch: thermaltake (3540).
Click on "company profile" and this has revenue by month there.
Best
Apologies, just some modification to my post. The below question was addressed to Bismark. I wrote Houdini instead in my hurried typing
Appreciate the compilation of Thermaltake’s monthly revenue, that’s remarkable to see the collapse in... login to read the rest
Bedrock, thank you for the comment. We agree Logitech makes a high-quality product (we use many of them ourselves!). However, for many of Logitech’s products there are comparable offerings on the market at lower prices.... login to read the rest
Thanks for both of your inputs, Houdini and puppyeh. I’m also short CRSR – the fundamental deterioration of the company is very much happening from multiple angles, the only thing I don’t like is the... login to read the rest
Logi is overvalued and that's about it. As a deriviateive play on apple and work from home, its best in class. Don't want to be long, wouldn't short. It's been investing in product for decades.
thanks for sharing such detailed work Bismarck. i am short both of these stocks and think CRSR could easily halve again. I think you are being quite generous w/ your terminal multiple (14x) and also... login to read the rest
Hey Houdini,
Here is how I look at it. The Company does not break down its segment by product line (besides memory), but I make some rough estimates based on disclosure around the S-1 and contribution... login to read the rest
Swag, as additional follow-up, here is an example of a Logitech video collaboration product being heavily discounted.
The price spiked during COVID, but is currently at the lowest price level since 2017.
We think these items are rolling over--
Thanks for the q.
Video collaboration was the biggest driver of revenue growth FY2021, representing 30% of incremental dollars ($670mm). We agree it is likely higher margin business, and the mix shift contributed to Logitech's margin... login to read the rest
Thanks for the write up, Houdini.
I looked at LOGI as a potential short earlier in the year and decided to pass back then due to the strength in the gaming and video collaboration segments. I... login to read the rest
Corsair is a much worse business than Logitech as the majority of its EBITDA comes from components, not peripherals. Components are lower gross margin, more commodity, and have more cyclicality to them. To elaborate, gaming... login to read the rest
as the author of many 2nd grade book reports, I can conclusively state that yours is no 2nd grade report (and frankly find that designation really weird given how clearly your idea is written) -... login to read the rest
Interesting.
I don't have a strong view on Corsair.. but with a quick look, it seems like Corsair's EBITDA has increased, on a multiple of pre-covid ebitda basis, significantly more than LOGI. I'd be worried about
I think bull thesis is: WFH is structurally higher demand through a cycle. They have good products, clean balance sheet... can acquire/grow into current valuation.
Bear rebuttal is: yes good products/mgt, but earnings way too high and... login to read the rest
I think this works but maybe even better way is to structure as a pair - long CRSR / short LOGI. Both COVID "winners" and similar end-market exposure (I'd argue CRSR a bit better given... login to read the rest
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