2008 | 2009 | ||||||
Price: | 4.75 | EPS | |||||
Shares Out. (in M): | 0 | P/E | |||||
Market Cap (in $M): | 260 | P/FCF | |||||
Net Debt (in $M): | 0 | EBIT | 0 | 0 | |||
TEV (in $M): | 0 | TEV/EBIT |
Sign up for free guest access to view investment idea with a 45 days delay.
Price: $ 4.55
Market Cap: $ 225m
52 Wk Range: $3.70 - $15.57
Shares Outstanding: 55.07m
Debt at last quarter: $284m
Net Operating Loss Carryforwards: ~$25m
Headquartered in a Company owned building on the outskirts of Pearson International Airport in Canada’s largest city, Kingsway Financial Services is one of the largest non-standard auto and trucking insurers in Canada and the US. Along with the rest of its commercial lines, it also offers standard and non-standard auto, as well as motorcycle, property, and liability lines while its specialty coverage includes customs, bail, and surety bonds. The company's eleven subsidiaries include American Country Holdings, American Service Insurance, Jevco Insurance, and Southern United Fire Insurance.
While the financial markets have been volatile and painful for everybody over the last year, fewer places have faired worse than financial stocks. Banks, insurance companies and mortgage lenders mired in complex derivatives, off balance sheet transactions and a complete lack of access to capital have destroyed shareholder value in ways that were unimaginable just 12 short months ago.
in millions of USD |
'9/30/08 |
|
ASSETS |
||
cash and equiv |
197 |
|
securities: |
||
Stocks |
315 |
|
US Canadian and Corp Bonds |
2225 |
|
total securities |
2540 |
|
accrued investment income |
26.2 |
|
financed premiums |
68.3 |
|
accounts receivable |
309 |
|
due from reinsurance |
212 |
|
deferred policy acq costs |
142 |
|
income tax recoverable |
9.2 |
|
future income tax |
150 |
|
capital assets |
119 |
|
Goodwill |
111.4 |
|
TOTAL ASSETS |
3884.1 |
|
LIABILITIES |
||
Bank Debt |
0 |
|
Loans Payable |
66 |
|
Accounts Payable and Accrued |
131.5 |
|
Unearned Premium |
604.7 |
|
Unpaid Claims |
2032 |
|
Senior Unsecured Debt |
196.8 |
|
Subordinated Debt |
87.3 |
|
TOTAL LIABILITIES |
3118.3 |
|
SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
765.8 |
Starting Shareholders Equity |
765.8 |
||
Stock Losses at 25% |
-78.75 |
||
Less Goodwill |
-111.4 |
||
New Shareholders Equity |
575.65 |
||
Shares Outstanding |
55.07 |
||
Tangible Book Value per share |
10.45 |
||
Current Price |
4.75 |
“Our purpose in acquiring shares of Common Stock of the Issuer is to profit from the appreciation in the market price of the shares of Common Stock through asserting shareholder rights. We do not believe the value of the Issuer's assets is adequately reflected in the current market price of the Issuer's Common Stock.
We have requested a meeting with the Issuer’s executive management and board chairman to discuss ways to maximize shareholder value and minimize both operational and balance sheet risks. We oppose any capital raise by the Issuer. We believe management needs to reduce expense levels. We strongly oppose the Issuer's acquiring other companies or businesses at this time. We hope to work constructively with the existing management and board to help them focus on maximizing value per share. However, we will exercise our shareholder rights to whatever degree necessary in order to achieve our goals. The Group intends to seek at least two board seats.”
At first, Kingsway refused to meet with The Stilwell Group, prompting the Group to file a second 13-D. This, 13-D filed on November 11th, 2008 stated:
“We are filing this First Amendment to report that when Issuer's CEO refused to promptly schedule a meeting with us, we served a requisition for a special shareholders meeting on Tuesday, November 11, 2008, to remove the CEO and chairman from the Issuer's board and replace them with Spencer L. Schneider and Larry G. Swets, Jr.
We still hope that Issuer's management and board will agree to meet with us to discuss ways to maximize shareholder value and minimize both operational and balance sheet risks. We oppose any capital raise by the Issuer. We believe management needs to reduce expense levels. We strongly oppose the Issuer's acquiring other companies or businesses at this time. We hope to work constructively with the existing management and board to help them focus on maximizing value per share. However, we will exercise our shareholder rights to whatever degree necessary in order to achieve our goals.”
After a bit of bickering over meeting times (including an episode where the Group flat out tells CEO Shaun Jackson that he is now not even welcome to the meeting as his replacement is an absolute must (a fourth 13-D was filed on November 17, 2008) the Group filed its final 13-D on November 24th, 2008. It stated:
“We are filing this Third Amendment to report that we met with the Issuer’s officials on Saturday, November 21, 2008 in Toronto, and offered to rescind our requisition for a special shareholders meeting and have Michael Walsh remain on the board if our nominees were promptly added to the board. We also stated our intention to proceed with the special shareholders meeting to remove Messrs. Walsh and Jackson if an agreement is not reached in the near future.
We also declined a request to meet with Shaun Jackson until such time as he resigns from, or is removed from, the board. Michael Walsh, Brian Reeve, Thomas DiGiacomo, Shelly Gobin, Kathleen Howie, and Irwin Greenblatt attended for the Issuer. Joseph Stilwell, Spencer Schneider, and Larry Swets attended for the Stilwell Group.
We expressed our displeasure with the Issuer's expense reductions to date; we stated our belief that the Issuer should immediately reduce overhead expenses in the range of $50 million; and we informed the board and management representatives that the board's current practice to not require timetables for management to reduce expense levels by definite amounts is unacceptable to us.
We expressed our belief that the Issuer should sell and/or run-off non-core lines of business as quickly as possible and use excess capital to retire the Issuer’s debt at a discount and repurchase shares of common stock.
We disagreed with assertions that the Issuer is moving at an appropriate pace to address its problems. We stated that the price of the Issuer's public securities indicates that its owners do not have confidence in the board and management, and that actions need to be taken quickly to address that lack of confidence.
We stated our belief that a date be set to achieve a combined ratio below 100 and that date be communicated to shareholders. We stressed the importance of management accountability to clearly stated corporate goals.
We urge the Chairman and other board members to insist that management maximize value per share and minimize both operational and balance sheet risks. We oppose any capital raise by the Issuer. We believe management needs to reduce expense levels. We strongly oppose the Issuer's acquiring other companies or businesses at this time. We hope to work constructively with the existing management and board to help them focus on maximizing value per share. However, we will exercise our shareholder rights to whatever degree necessary in order to achieve our goals.
There are two methods to value a rejuvenated Kingsway. One is on earnings per share and the other is on book value. I consider book value to be much more interesting, but show the earnings power of Kingsway below for illustrative purposes.
Underwrite to 95%, Investments Yield 5% = Earnings of $2.06 per share
Underwrite to 97%, Investments Yield 5% = Earnings of $1.63 per share
Underwrite to 100%, Investments Yield 5% = Earnings of $1.00 per share
@ 1.0x book = $11.27 per KFS share
@ 1.1x book = $12.4 per KFS share
@ 1.2x book = $13.5 per KFS share
@ 1.3x book = $14.65 per KFS share
@ 1.4x book = $15.78 per KFS share
Link to second Stilwell 13-D filing: http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1072627/000089291708000291/stilkfs13da111408.htm
Link to fifth 13-D filing: http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1072627/000089291708000301/stilkfs13da3-112408.htm
show sort by |
Are you sure you want to close this position Kingsway Financial Services?
By closing position, I’m notifying VIC Members that at today’s market price, I no longer am recommending this position.
Are you sure you want to Flag this idea Kingsway Financial Services for removal?
Flagging an idea indicates that the idea does not meet the standards of the club and you believe it should be removed from the site. Once a threshold has been reached the idea will be removed.
You currently do not have message posting privilages, there are 1 way you can get the privilage.
Apply for or reactivate your full membership
You can apply for full membership by submitting an investment idea of your own. Or if you are in reactivation status, you need to reactivate your full membership.
What is wrong with message, "".