2006 | 2007 | ||||||
Price: | 48.76 | EPS | |||||
Shares Out. (in M): | 0 | P/E | |||||
Market Cap (in $M): | 1,872 | P/FCF | |||||
Net Debt (in $M): | 0 | EBIT | 0 | 0 | |||
TEV (in $M): | 0 | TEV/EBIT | |||||
Borrow Cost: | NA |
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ICHB MM Sum of the Parts Valuation |
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Stake |
Capacity |
EV / ton |
Value | |||||
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(%) |
(tons) |
($USD) |
($USD) | |||||
Simec |
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85.1% |
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$2,526 | ||||||
Republic |
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49.8% |
1,900 |
$208 |
197 | ||||||
Welded Pipe Mills |
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100.0% |
400 |
100 |
40 | ||||||||
Long Steel Mill |
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100.0% |
250 |
350 |
88 | |||||||
Specialty Steel Mill |
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100.0% |
100 |
600 |
60 | ||||||||
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Implied ICHB MM Enterprise Value |
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$2,910 | |||||||||
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Less: |
Total Debt |
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- | ||||||
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Plus: |
Cash |
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68 | |||||
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Implied ICHB MM Equity Value |
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$2,977 | |||||||||
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Current ICHB MM Equity Value |
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1,872 | ||||||||
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Current ICHB Discount to Sum of the Parts |
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(37.1)% | |||||||||
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Long ICHB MM Profit Potential |
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59.1% | |||||||
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Market Implied SIM Valuation |
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Stake |
Capacity |
EV / ton |
Value | ||||||
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(%) |
(tons) |
($USD) |
($USD) | ||||||
Current ICHB MM Equity Value |
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$1,872 | ||||||||||
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Plus: |
Total Debt |
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- | |||||||
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Less: |
Cash |
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(68) | ||||||
Current ICHB MM Enterprise Value |
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$1,804 | |||||||||||
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Less: |
Republic |
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49.8% |
1,900 |
$208 |
(197) | |||||||
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Less: |
Welded Pipe Mills |
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100.0% |
400 |
100 |
(40) | ||||||||
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Less: |
Long Steel Mill |
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100.0% |
250 |
350 |
(88) | ||||||||
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Less: |
Specialty Steel Mill |
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100.0% |
100 |
600 |
(60) | ||||||||
Implied SIM Value |
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$1,420 | |||||||||
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Current SIM Value |
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85.1% |
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2,526 | ||||||||
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Current SIM Premium to Market Implied Value |
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77.8% | |||||||||||
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Short SIM Profit Potential |
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43.8% | ||||||||
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Arbitrage Analysis |
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Ownership: |
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SIM Shares Outstanding |
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421.215 | ||||||||
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SIM ADSs Outstanding (equivalents) |
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140.405 | ||||||||
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ICH Ownership of SIM |
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85.1% | ||||||||
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SIM Shares Owned by ICH |
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358.285 | ||||||||
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ICH Shares Outstanding |
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436.575 | ||||||||
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SIM Shares per ICH Share |
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0.821 | ||||||||
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SIM ADSs per ICH Share |
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0.274 | |||||||
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Trade Ratios: |
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Ticker |
USD Price |
Shares |
USD Value | |||||
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Long |
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ICHB MM |
$4.29 |
1.000 |
$4.29 | ||||||
Short |
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SIM |
$21.15 |
(0.274) |
(5.79) | ||||||
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Gross |
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$10.07 | ||||||
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Net |
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(1.50) | ||||||
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Capital Ratio (Long / Short) |
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0.741 | |||||||
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Inverse Capital Ratio (Short / Long) |
1.349 | |||||||
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ADS |
ADS Price |
Underlying |
UDL Price |
ADS |
ADS Premium / |
Company Name |
Ticker |
(in USD) |
Ticker |
(in USD) |
Ratio |
(Discount) |
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AMERICA MOVIL |
AMX |
44.15 |
AMXL MM |
2.21 |
20 |
0.1% |
AMERICA MOVIL |
AMOV |
43.87 |
AMXA MM |
2.22 |
20 |
(1.1)% |
AMERICA TELECOM |
ATDTY |
17.25 |
AMTELA1 MM |
8.74 |
2 |
(1.4)% |
CARSO GLOBAL TELECOM |
CGTVY |
5.90 |
TELECOA1 MM |
3.10 |
2 |
(4.8)% |
CEMEX |
CX |
32.80 |
CEMEXCP MM |
3.26 |
10 |
0.5% |
COCA-COLA FEMSA |
KOF |
35.36 |
KOFL MM |
3.55 |
10 |
(0.3)% |
CORP GEO |
CVGFY |
16.50 |
GEOB MM |
4.23 |
4 |
(2.4)% |
DESARROLLADORA HOMEX |
HXM |
49.07 |
HOMEX* MM |
8.19 |
6 |
(0.1)% |
FOMENTO ECONOMICO MEXICANO |
FMX |
105.62 |
FEMSAUBD MM |
10.51 |
10 |
0.5% |
GRUMA |
GMK |
13.40 |
GRUMAB MM |
3.34 |
4 |
0.2% |
GRUPO AEROPORT. DEL PACIFICO |
PAC |
39.80 |
GAPB MM |
3.97 |
10 |
0.3% |
GRUPO AEROPORT. DEL SURESTE |
ASR |
44.73 |
ASURB MM |
4.45 |
10 |
0.5% |
GRUPO CARSO |
GPOVY |
6.75 |
GCARSOA1 MM |
3.45 |
2 |
(2.1)% |
GRUPO CASA SABA |
SAB |
21.80 |
SAB* MM |
2.20 |
10 |
(1.1)% |
GRUPO FINANCIERO INBURSA |
GPFOY |
9.85 |
GFINBURO MM |
2.04 |
5 |
(3.3)% |
GRUPO MODELO |
GPMCY |
53.00 |
GMODELOC MM |
5.34 |
10 |
(0.8)% |
GRUPO RADIO CENTRO |
RC |
8.90 |
RCENTROA MM |
0.98 |
9 |
0.6% |
GRUPO TELEVISA |
TV |
26.01 |
TLEVICPO MM |
5.22 |
5 |
(0.3)% |
GRUPO TMM |
TMM |
2.75 |
TMMA MM |
2.72 |
1 |
1.2% |
KIMBERLY-CLARK DE MEXICO |
KCDMY |
21.35 |
KIMBERA MM |
4.17 |
5 |
2.5% |
PROMOTORA Y OPER. DE INFRAES. |
PUODY |
31.25 |
PINFRA* MM |
1.59 |
20 |
(1.8)% |
TELEFONOS DE MEXICO |
TFONY |
26.13 |
TELMEXA MM |
1.31 |
20 |
0.1% |
TELEFONOS DE MEXICO |
TMX |
26.34 |
TELMEXL MM |
1.32 |
20 |
(0.0)% |
VITRO |
VTO |
3.87 |
VITROA MM |
1.29 |
3 |
(0.0)% |
WAL-MART DE MEXICO |
WMMVY |
37.25 |
WALMEXV MM |
3.72 |
10 |
0.1% |
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Average |
(0.5)% |
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Median |
(0.0)% |
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GRUPO SIMEC |
SIM |
21.15 |
SIMECB MM |
6.99 |
3 |
0.9% |
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