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54
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5/07/23 4:41PM
Re: Updated perspective?
53
Hi Maggie,
I continue to be perplexed by the lack luster stock price of GEL. They were impacted by $15MM from one off weather related rail issues, but the unchanged guidance shows that there was some... login to read the rest
Hi lpartners, I have been intrigued by GEL as the soda ash dynamics you've discussed remind me of the favorable supply/demand imbalance I have embraced at both OLN (exited) and OEC (still involved). That said,... login to read the rest
Is there a commodity that would serve as a proxy for soda ash that trades more? Would copper, iron ore or some other commodity be a good proxy? Also, what resources do you use to
So...we're trading at 1x segment profit. We have an extra $100 mm coming in EBITDA, soda ash coming back should be much stronger in a few quarters, and eventually probably rail as well...seeing that bk... login to read the rest
lpartners, just curious of your thoughts on the 2Q, especially on the soda ash business. Looks like it turned worse than expected and they are cold stacking and delaying the Granger project. thanks.
Thanks for the insight. We like the asset profile as well, but what kind of outside world do you need for this to be a $12, $20 or $30 stock? You mentioned the yield...EPD is... login to read the rest
Have you looked at bying otm puts on anything a bit more specific than r2k? Perhaps an mlp etf? I guess issue is that gel tends to outperform and underperform it's peers given its heavy... login to read the rest
Though it probably shouldn't trade too closely to crude and I don't love etf's but could go long sco calls?
You mind sharing a bit on your r2k put strategy? Are you trying to mirror your... login to read the rest
Are you adding at these levels? Seems like they could use some good sponsors given the retreat by the high yield funds and energy houses that pulled back in the last few months. Are you
I'm by no means an expert here but even if GEL has the best positioned assets in the GOM, if it's a declining basin then GEL will be subject to basin economics at the end... login to read the rest
how do you guys think about the impact of lower rigs in GOM? offshore GOM is insulated somewhat vs. NAM but I do expect total offshore GOM rigs to decline. Does GEL's particular CP's just
Great writeup and generally agree. Typically these trade off yield and if they aren't going to increase in the next 6-12 months, how do you see a meaningful move in the name before then?
Sorry for the delay...
Offshore - Trump wanted to cut production. OMG! He did not. This is a great business that gets better as they load capacity.
Onshore - A good business. They have a good relationship... login to read the rest
GEL owns a nice collection of assets. I really like their offshore assets. I like the soda ash business. Their onshore business is attractive.
I wrote it up as a buy at $20.00. I own... login to read the rest
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