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AUTHOR
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member
5/19/22 11:33AM
Re: Re: Re: aprovecha413...Congrats
16
Hi aprovecha - are you still involved here? Given the pricing power this particular retailer seems to have, this one seems oversold...though that seems to be a theme here. Curious if anyone has seen credit
Quite a bit of insider selling since 9/21...curious if you have any updated thoughts? Updated guidance to $78 mm with slightly lower sales than expected. $306 mm market cap / EV with pricing power...what's not
Agreed - seems like it deserves to be a winner. Great find and, equally important, superb research and writeup. Wish I'd gotten involved - no excuse since it was one of my favorites.
Sure man thanks. Hopefully early innings. Couple follow ups on that note:
a) There are several high correlation data soures we use to track the digital part of the business (40% of revs roughly), which accelerated... login to read the rest
On call so more later but ya this is obviously much better than we anticipated. We thought that they'd be slightly above break-even in EBITDA for 1Q vs 14mm they reported, and that then seasonal... login to read the rest
Great results and great call so far. Looks like the cost reductions have really come through; q1 ebitda is >50% of 2019 ebitda and already fcf pos. Well on track to achieve your $61m ebitda
The guidance was initially provided in January (prior to sales trends materially improving) and then reaffirmed with 4Q earnings. Guide likely embedded minimal 1H contribution (alternative data indicated sales tracking -30% at the time).
For context... login to read the rest
company guidance:Financial Outlook
Our plans for fiscal 2021 include expected sales of approximately $385.0 million to $402.0 million, adjusted EBITDA of approximately $11.0 to $18.0 million and positive free cash flow.
Thanks for the helpful writeup! A couple questions:1. You are expecting revenue of $480 million for F'21 and mentioned EBITDA should be at least $60 million. Versus guidance this implies about $85 million of additional... login to read the rest
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