thanks for the thoughts dd12, i am in your camp. when are they going to re-list? have you spoken with management? I think getting it listed is a key catalyst b/c liquidity will pick up.
my view (i am involved with the other half of the Alpha Natural reorg, ANR, Inc): no one wants to pay for the current met pricing explosion. CNTE is one thing as it also has... login to read the rest
why hasn't this name worked? Anyone have any views? Still screens incredibly cheap. What are management's long-term intentions here? THey actually own a fair amount of stock post-reorg, I wonder if they are likely sellers
Hi, thx for the idea.
I got a question, am new to coal miners (although I work alongside coal comm. traders): what points am I missing to not seeing relative cheapness with ARCH? I compared some... login to read the rest
1) I was struck by the precision of the 4th quarter preliminary Revenue results, which was to the decimal point; versus the very wide range for EBITDA of $85-110M. this leaves much to the imagination
2)... login to read the rest
Not sure how Moody's is getting to that number. CNTE had 2017 forecatsed EBITDA of $267.9 million in their disclosure statement, but those projections were generated around the time of bk exit (7/26/2016) before the big... login to read the rest
1. Assuming $170-180/mt benchmark for 2017. CNTE’s committed volumes in 2017 are to domestic steel customers and were priced at $101 for 30% of expected 2017 volumes. Current spot price for primary grade of CNTE’s... login to read the rest
Moody's seems to be expecting roughly $265MM of 2017 EBITDA. Is the difference that they are assuming a normalized price deck?
https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-rates-Conturas-proposed-secured-term-loan-PB2-outlook-stable--PR_362295?WT.mc_id=AM~WWFob29fRmluYW5jZV9TQl9SYXRpbmcgTmV3c19BbGxfRW5n~20170221_PR_362295&yptr=yahoo
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