You are not eligible to view 9 messages. To gain access to more recent message posts signup free for membership.
#
AUTHOR
DATE
SUBJECT
27
member
3/26/19 6:32PM
Re: Update?
26
On CLW's Q4 call they stated that they had an issue with their internal controls, the Shelby plant was behind schedule and would ultimately be $80MM over budget. The company also pushed out any expected... login to read the rest
Pulp prices are fallig in China which leads the US. As you know CLW spends around $190 MM a year on outside pulp. Pulp tends to trend pretty hard so this could be the begining
they are over-budget by 13%. Not great but given the cost pressures the last few years it's understandable. they kind of hinted at this issue in prior calls i thought so not new.
in 2h19 this... login to read the rest
I agree. It’s one of those where there are so many catalysts it should work but management is pretty poor. Shelby over budget and almost two years before they reach the run rate they initially
numbers look really good for 3q for clw - guidance for 4th qtr seems generally in line (ex maintenance and ladysmith sale).
if tissue gets price and shelby ramp is okay in 2019 this idea should
they averaged 30mm from 2005-2010 so it's definitely possible. I think a safer number to use is 75mm however. I believe a significant portion of the "growth" cap ex in the last 7 years was... login to read the rest
Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: thanks for the write up and a few questions
16
What makes you think that shipping will be a headwind in the quarter? I would expect it would be lower because (1) they are not servicing the lost Kroger business and (2) the start up
Re: Re: Re: Re: thanks for the write up and a few questions
15
i have heard similar things on the management team and also similar frustrations from other investors.
i have to spend more time thinking about the digester. it's clearly not showing up yet - i wonder if... login to read the rest
Re: Re: Re: thanks for the write up and a few questions
14
The ramp for the digester has been slow. YTD for the US, they have only received about 5MM of benefit. 1MM in the first quarter and 4MM in the second. There are no incremental costs.... login to read the rest
Re: Re: thanks for the write up and a few questions
13
thanks for the responses. lots to think about. i like the idea.
I still can't figure out the 61.5mm. i know you say it's simple math - but can you walk thru it - are you... login to read the rest
Why do you believe that CLW is angling to replace the sales volume lost from their Kroger account with regional customers? While I agree that could save them a lot on their rising transport costs,... login to read the rest
Thanks for the writeup. The stock definitely seem interesting and worthy of more research. Some interesting points I hadn't fully considered, especially on shipping savings. I have a few questions for you, if you have... login to read the rest
Aagold really hits the nail on the head here. It's really all about the NAV of the etf vs the price of the etf. If the demand of the etf drives the price of the... login to read the rest
The vast majority of ETFs are long only, so by definition the beta of the ETF to the underlying will be positive.
If the buying pressure on an ETF is stronger than that of the underlying... login to read the rest
A lot of investors are passsive today. I assume much of the volume in the market arrises out of the purchase and sale of ETFs. If there is a missmatch between the basket of stocks... login to read the rest
My thinking is that 1% of 1/3 of 16.5MM shares equals about 60k shares. If there is a 1% decline in the index that would likely suggest that 1% of those shares would be sold.
Are you sure you want to close this position CLEARWATER PAPER CORP?
By closing position, I’m notifying VIC Members that at today’s market price, I no longer am recommending this position.
Flag CLEARWATER PAPER CORP for Removal
Are you sure you want to Flag this idea CLEARWATER PAPER CORP for removal?
Flagging an idea indicates that the idea does not meet the standards of the club and you believe it should be removed from the site. Once a threshold has been reached the idea will be removed.
You Cannot Submit Message ... Yet
You currently do not have message posting privilages, there are
1 way you can get the privilage.
You can apply for full membership by submitting an investment idea of your own. Or if you are in reactivation status, you need to reactivate your full membership.