Hi jgalt,
In my opinion, Brazil is not nearly as bad as China/India/Nigeria. FWIW, private market multiples support my view: China/India/Nigeria generally trade at MSD multiples, while LatAm tower portfolios trade at double digit multiples (often... login to read the rest
Share count is up 15%+ over the past decade, as they have issued shares for some acquisitions (a headwind to per-share metrics)
Moreover, capital allocation has been toward lower-margin segments. From their latest supplement, I see... login to read the rest
Agree with juice835, people dont understand that a bond is a nominal yield (real + inflation) and AMT is a real yield that can raise prices with inflation; towers and bonds very different assets
If nominal... login to read the rest
AMT is currently trading at 21x forward AFFO; the range for the last half-dozen years has been 15-30x. The times that the multiple has approached the lower end of the range in the past have... login to read the rest
but AMT hasn't (and certainly shouldn't in my opinion given growth and model etc) generally traded like a typical REIT so I'm not sure that it being structured as one is a particularly salient point.
Pretty dismissive to attack the question as a reduction to talking points of the last 10 days. REITs have been trading (inversely) with rates pretty well since REITs have been a distinct asset class. It
fair question- SBAC seems like more debt and higher valuation for not that much higher growth to me.
CCI seems like maybe similarly good risk/reward though i've always preferred AMT on the margin in terms of... login to read the rest
so it's less good because it is predictable even though it has a decade (decades?) of growth in front of it still and trades at a market multiple? not sure i follow the logic there... login to read the rest
Hate to say, but isn't a predictable business like this (and a REIT, no less!) the closest it gets to a bond proxy and thus a loser from higher rates?
Hard to see how tour thesis... login to read the rest
This is a top position for us. FWIW, I think this is an excellent write-up, in addition to being an excellent idea: succinct and touches the key points on quality, valuation, and what is going
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