AKAZOO SA SONG S
April 20, 2020 - 7:47am EST by
rodin1975
2020 2021
Price: 2.53 EPS 0 0
Shares Out. (in M): 50 P/E 0 0
Market Cap (in $M): 126 P/FCF 0 0
Net Debt (in $M): 0 EBIT 0 0
TEV (in $M): 0 TEV/EBIT 0 0
Borrow Cost: Tight 15-50% cost

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Description

Akazoo S.A.: You Only Live Twice!

Akazoo has deceived investors for the last time

 

Equity Report by Quintessential Capital Management

Saturday, April 18, 2020

 

QCM is SHORT Akazoo (Nasdaq: SONG)

Disclaimer

This report reflects the opinions and projections of Quintessential Capital Management ("QCM") as of the date of publication, which is subject to change without notice at any time following the date of issue.   QCM does not represent that any opinion or projection will be realized. While the information presented in this report is believed to be reliable, no representation or warranty is made concerning the accuracy of any data presented in this report or its attachments.   All information provided in this report is for informational purposes only and should not be deemed as investment advice or a recommendation to purchase or sell any specific security. 

 

QCM is SHORT the stock of Akazoo S.A., but QCM's economic interest is subject to change without notice.  

This report may not be reproduced without prior written permission from QCM.

The information presented in this report is supplemented by footnotes, which identify QCM's sources, assumptions, estimates, and calculations.  The information contained herein should be reviewed in conjunction with the footnotes.

This report shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any interests in any fund managed by QCM or any of its affiliates.  Such an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy interests may only be made pursuant to definitive subscription documents between QCM and an investor.  

Executive Summary

Quintessential Capital Management (QCM) has completed its in-depth investigation into Akazoo S.A., a Luxembourg-domiciled company recently listed on Nasdaq through a reverse merger. After a meticulous collection and analysis of information, we came to the opinion that Akazoo is likely a "castle of cards", a scheme conceived by management to enrich themselves at the expense of shareholders.  Akazoo claims to be a successful multinational music streaming company, whose size in terms of revenue, profits and users would rival industry giants such as Pandora or Tidal. In this report, we will share with you overwhelming evidence suggesting that Akazoo may be just a tiny, loss-making company based in Greece with negligible user base and sales. We fear that Akazoo’s accounts, which have been audited by a tier-2 firm, may in fact hide serious irregularities or worse. Akazoo counts no more than 26 employees, a large portion of which have recently worked at other proven frauds (e.g. Globo Plc[1]) or suspected frauds (Velti). We also have serious suspicions about possible breaches in copyrights, possible money laundering and other instances of corporate wrongdoing. Given the gravity of the allegations against Akazoo, we believe that the company is destined for a catastrophic collapse and its equity is correspondingly worthless.

 

QCM is short the shares of Akazoo S.A.

Warning: the following text contains important hyperlinks and footnotes

 

Quintessential and its goals

We are an American hedge fund based in New York. Our main activity consists in identifying, investigating and exposing catastrophic corporate situations in publicly traded companies, such as fraud, criminal conduct or failed business models.

We use state-of-the-art investigative techniques and only act after acquiring a critical amount of overwhelming evidenceto substantiate our claims. Since 2015, we have completed eight activist campaigns exposing various dishonest companies with a 100% success rate.[2]  In July 2019, our in-depth report named “A Parmalat in Bologna” has led to the collapse of the Italian €1.1b-unicorn Bio-on S.p.A. and the arrest of the executives involved, charged with fraud and market manipulation.

In May 2018 our campaign against the Greek giant "Folli Follie" led to the collapse and de-listing of the company in just three weeks, as well as the uncovering of a multibillion-dollar fraud (the perpetrators are currently facing criminal prosecution). In December 2018, our action against Aphria, a Canadian cannabis company with a market capitalization of more than USD 4 billion, led to the immediate collapse of the stock and to the dismissal of the entire board of directors. In 2015 our report entitled "A Greek Parmalat" on Globo Plc led to the immediate collapse of the stock, bankruptcy of the company and the resignation of the executives involved, who promptly admitted their guilt.

We are a commercial enterprise and we work for profit. However, we firmly believe in the moral character of our workwhich has the effect of removing dishonest companies from the markets. These "bad apples" take financial and human resources away from legitimate companies and it is important to inform the public as quickly as possible to minimize the number of investors and creditors involved. 

Description and historical context

Akazoo is a music streaming company ostensibly based in London (UK) and Luxembourg. The company listed itself on Nasdaq via a reverse merger in September 2019, being formerly part of a Greek company named “InternetQ”. InternetQ used to be listed on the London AIM market until early 2016, when the company was taken private amidst allegations of fraud by a British publication, Shareprophets. Following a few years of relative quiet, InternetQ spun off Akazoo and listed it on the US market through a reverse merger with a cash shell.

Akazoo owns and operates music streaming services. Its flagship service Akazoo Music is a music streaming app like Spotify or Deezer and allows users to listen to unlimited music for a monthly subscription via mobile or internet. The company claims 44m registered users, of which 5.5m paying subscribers and revenue of $140m growing at a compound rate of around 24%[3] a year. According to the company’s SEC filings, 80% of revenue originates directly from consumers, with the remainder derived from partnerships with telecom operators, OEM manufacturers and others. The company claims to operate in 25 countries around the world, especially in emerging markets, where it supposedly caters to the “local taste in music”. 

Financial analysis: like for many of our past targets, cash and taxes are missing at Akazoo

In virtually every fraud exposed by QCM in the past (e.g. Folli Follie, Bio-on, Globo) we observed two constant elements: lack of cash generation and little or no taxes. Typically, fraudulent companies inflate their sales and profits by issuing fake invoices to shell companies which are secretly controlled by management. This activity creates a fictitious accounting profit, but since fake sales do not generate any cash, they must be offset by equally fictitious expenses or investments (e.g. capex, intangible assets or M&A). As a result, companies that distort figures in this way, are often left with a large account receivables balance and a negative free cash flow generation which clashes with the claimed accounting profit. In addition to this, companies suspected of fraud typically pay little or no taxes.

This situation echoes what we see at Akazoo, with large discrepancies between earnings and cash flow, sizeable investments in IP and a level of account receivables grossly out of line with its peer group. We also observe with great concern, that Akazoo has paid zero taxes for at least the past four years, despite claiming $21.7m of accounting “profit”.

 

A questionable accounting profit masks a cash burn of $4m/yr:



Akazoo claims to be spending around $11m/yr in intangible assets: 






Account receivables are ballooning:

 

Akazoo paid zero taxes in four years:




Akazoo Day Sales Outstanding are an outlier compared to its peers:



Numerical analysis suggests that Akazoo may be much smaller than it claims to be

As reported earlier, Akazoo claims sales of $140m, 44m registered users and $5.5m paying subscribers. Because Akazoo’s business model is similar to that of many competing apps in the market (e.g. Pandora, Spotify, Tidal, TuneIn, etc.), one would expect it to score comparably in basic industry ratios[4]. For example, a selection of Akazoo’s competitors shows that there is on average 1 app review for every 31 registered users on Google Play (the Android app store). Other ratios we checked include revenue/employee, subscribers/employee and others. While its competitors exhibit ratios which are similar to one another, Akazoo’s figures tend to be an extreme outlier. For example, Akazoo claims to have over 500 users per review while its competitors on average have about 31. So, either Akazoo’s users are far more reluctant to write reviews or the Company’s user base is a lot smaller than what management has been telling investors. Similar anomalies show up also in the number of likes/followers on social media and in revenue/employee ratio.

In our opinion, these discrepancies strongly suggest that Akazoo may be a far smaller company than it claims to be. By extrapolating the average figures and applying them to Akazoo, we estimate that its users base may be inflated by at least a factor of 10. 

 

 

 

Trends analysis: Akazoo’s visibility is negligible

We used Google Trends in order to gauge the search volume for the word “Akazoo” over time. The results are extreme and show three worrying patterns:

  1. Search volume for Akazoo is negligible, especially if compared with competitors claiming similar user bases. For example, Pandora has some 80m users and Deezer 14m (vs 44m claimed by Akazoo). Yet, the search volume for the Greek company is almost trivial compared to both firms.

  2. On an absolute basis, search volume for Akazoo appears to have peaked somewhere around 2011-2012 and has since shrunk to almost zero. This fact obviously clashes with growth rates and trajectory claimed by the Company.

  3. The near totality of web searches originates in Cyprus and Greece, rather than in the emerging countries where Akazoo claims to be so popular.

The above observations clearly strengthen the idea that Akazoo’s claimed size, growth rate and geographical reach may be completely, false.

 

 

Data from third-party apps confirms: Akazoo app number of downloads is minimal

We used third-party software to estimate how many times the Akazoo app may been downloaded on smartphones and the corresponding projected revenue figures. Not surprisingly, the figures we obtained fit perfectly the insights that we received from the numerical analysis in the previous sections: Akazoo scores pitifully on both platforms. For Sensor Tower, Akazoo was below the minimum threshold for detection (Mobile Action seems to estimate the number of Akazoo downloads at about 40/month (December 2019). Obviously, such dismal data is impossible to reconcile with the 44m of registered users growing at double-digit rates claimed by management. Should anyone doubt the accuracy of the software we used, we performed the same analysis on several competitors of Akazoo’s and the findings were consistent with the official figures reported by these companies.

 

The app reviews: few and shameless

Opening the Akazoo page on Google Play (the Android app store) something odd immediately jumps to the eye: the most relevant text reviews date as far back as January 2019 (15 months ago) and, perhaps surprisingly for an app that claims to cater mostly emerging markets, are signed by three Greek-sounding names. The authors of these reviews are: Chris Spiliotopoulos, Yiannis Karalis and George Zervos. As you can readily verify clicking on the hyperlinks, these characters are all Akazoo’s senior employees and the latter, George Zervos, may be the brother of the company’s CEO. A quick glance of the remaining reviews shows that many of them look fake or complain about the app being either unusable, disappointing or claim having downloaded it to get credits elsewhere.

 

 The incredible shrinking Akazoo

According to Akazoo’s official filings, the Company’s headcount decreased by 17% per year from 45 to 26 in 2016-2018 (we estimate the current number to be even lower). One has difficulty reconciling these figures with the claimed revenue growth rate of 24%: why would a company claiming to grow at that rate halve its workforce in three years starting from an already impossibly low base?

The very low number of employees (26 or less) on $145m of sales implies a most unlikely $5.5m of sales/employee. This ratio is 8x times higher than the ratio for its peer group and for companies such as Facebook or Apple (which have industry-leading ratios).

Consistent with the significant shrinking headcount, we noticed that Akazoo seems to have closed most (or perhaps all) of their offices outside of Greece, including its headquarters in London.

We visited recently Akazoo’s London headquarters at the Pavillon Center at 96 Kensington High Street, in London UK. The facility is a co-working space akin to WeWork. After speaking with the receptionist, we learned that Akazoo left the premises a long time ago. Even at its peak, the office was apparently manned by only four people: Pablo, George, Neilah and Pierre. We believe[5] these names may correspond to Pablo MonstrousNailah Peeroo, George Zervos and Pierre Schroeder (CFO): the former three have left the UK office in February 2019, while Pierre lingered until December then closed down the office permanently. We also visited other addresses in London, including the ones of their subsidiary R&R, and found them either closed or belonging to Akazoo’s legal advisors rather than to Akazoo proper.

The office in the Ukraine is also either closed or in the process of being closed as Tatiana Ostapenko, Akazoo’s Chief Accountant, is “open for offers” on her LinkedIn page and cites as a reason “[Akazoo’s] HQ is currently closing business in Ukraine”.

We also visited the Luxembourg address in Rue de Bitbourg and failed to find any trace of Akazoo whatsoever (we presume that this address belongs to Akazoo’s legal advisors). Similarly, our field sources claim that Akazoo has no proper office in Cyprus and may be using an accountant’s address or similar. So, where in fact is Akazoo? The company may be operating from some other unknown location, but QCM did find an Akazoo’s office[6] inside the headquarters of its former parent company InternetQ in Athens, at 340 Kifissias Ave, Neo Psychiko. The (barely readable) sign on the doorbell simply says “InternetQ”[7]. One wonders whether the company should have communicated to investors that it is no longer operating from the office address in London appearing on its official filings and on its website.

 

 

 

The (tiny) sign outside Akazoo’s office in Athens says “InternetQ”...

 


 

Auditors cannot always be expected to detect these situations

Having a Big Four auditing firm is not necessarily a 100% guarantee against fraud, as Bio-on’s investors and creditors painfully found out last summer (the accounts were signed off by EY). Crowe LLP, the audit firm signing off unqualified opinions on Akazoo’s financial statements since 2015, has a decent reputation as a tier-2 company, but it’s not infallible. The company has been recently fined $1.5m by the SEC for allegedly providing a green light to a fraud (the full proceedings may be found here). We note that these SEC charges allege a situation that, in our opinion, echoes the situation we suspect is going on at Akazoo.

In any case, auditors often struggle with companies where a large portion of revenue and expenses originate outside of the country where the company is headquartered. This is because the accounts of a company’s foreign subsidiaries are typically audited by little-known local firms which may be subject to all sort of pressures. We saw this situation occurring clearly at Folli Follie and Globo Plc.

 

Doubts on geographic reach 

In its official filings and presentation to investors, Akazoo claims to be active in 25 countries:

Being a music-streaming business, the map above presumably indicates that Akazoo is actively selling music in the countries appearing on the map. In its 2019 SEC filings Akazoo highlights:  “Akazoo’s revenue is derived primarily in emerging markets (including Poland, Russia, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, Ecuador, Brazil and Mexico, among others). The success of the business is largely dependent on the continued demand for music streaming services in these regions”.

QCM’s investigation, however, suggests otherwise. First of all, using local contacts in key markets as well as a VPN, we attempted opening accounts in dozens of countries (including many of those in the list above), but in most cases, we received the following message from Akazoo:

“We would really like to be here. For now, our service is not available in your country. Please check back, you never know.”

The only countries where we did manage to open an account were Greece, Cyprus, Poland, Malaysia and Indonesia. It is apparently not possible to become an Akazoo client in either Russia or Brazil, two of the largest markets that Akazoo claims to be operating in. This is in line with the options on the app itself which only has these five countries as possible choices of residence (and this stage is only accessible if you are located in one of those five countries).

 

Additionally, we investigated the local Google App Stores in the key markets directly referred to by Akazoo. Noting that, as per SEC filing, only “up to 20% of subscribers” come from partnerships with local operators, we can focus primarily on the availability of and activity on Akazoo Music – the flagship app. We also note that the other app Akazoo Radio does not charge a subscription and is said by Akazoo to account for less than 2% of revenues, meaning it can safely be ignored for the purposes of verifying the user base.

 

Key Market Poland

Starting in late 2014 Akazoo did have a partnership with Orange Polska SA, providing them a white-label streaming service called Muzyka-Tu-i-Tam. However there seemed to be quite a lot of complaints around it and in early 2016 Orange switched to a partnership with Spotify (source: https://www.telepolis.pl/wiadomosci/taryfy-promocje-uslugi/spotify-premium-dostepny-w-orange ). Former clients of Muzyka-Tu-i-Tam were migrated onto Spotify by Orange with a three-month free Premium subscription. The Tu-i-Tam service does not appear to exist since mid-2016. Currently all Polish operators have streaming music partnerships that they actively promote on their websites – none involving Akazoo:

  • Orange: Spotify, Tidal, Amazon and Deezer

  • com: Tidal

  • T-Mobile: Pandora, Spotify, Google, Amazon, Apple, Soundcloud

  • Polkomtel has its own app (Plus Music) developed by a firm called n7 mobile.

 

The Akazoo Music app is still available on the Polish Google Play app: it is one of a handful of markets where it is currently possible to register, log-in and even pay for access (using a Polish third party payments service: (https://mobiltek.pl/en/mobile-payments/ ). Unfortunately, there don’t seem to be many takers…

On the Polish Google Play app store the most recent reviews as of February 2020 are two from 2018, one from 2017 and a few complaints from 2016. Some older reviews hint that the reviewers were only downloading it in order to earn credits on a third-party app. However, a grand total of three reviews (!) over the past three years is a clear sign that there is practically no usage. For comparison, Spotify has 20-25 reviews per day from Polish Google App store users. Spotify does not disclose its subscriber numbers in Poland but the annualized ratio of its reviews to Akazoo’s suggests 7,300 : 1. Even with an optimistic assumption that Spotify has 19m subscribers (50% of the Population), we would therefore estimate Akazoo to have around 2,000 subscribers in this “key market” – even with a margin of error of a factor of 10, this is an insignificant number.

This is not very surprising as Akazoo has zero online presence in Poland, with extensive Google searches mostly revealing a handful pre-2015 references complaining about it being a predatory premium SMS scam.

 

Key Market Russia

The Akazoo Music app has been available on the app store since at least 2017. However, in all that time it seemingly was not possible for Russian users to register or log in as evidenced by the sporadic commentary of users who seem to have stumbled on it. It has also never been translated into Russian (a frequent complaint below from people who didn’t even manage to get to the point where they are told the service is not available in their country) and remains unavailable for registration today.

 

Key Market Brazil

The service is not available in Brazil. It is possible to download the app and there is a Portuguese language page that confirms the service is not available. It is not permitted to open an account or log in with an existing account. This has been tested on multiple local mobile phones and networks. Judging by the comments on the Google App store, this has been the case since at least May 2019 (comments saying it is not possible to log in).

 

In prior years there was some modest commentary activity with a small number of people evidently trying the service out. The vast majority of the reviews were negative with one star. Having taken the time to count them individually, it looks like momentum faded after 2016 – not that 81 reviews per year indicates a popular app.

 

Total Akazoo Music Reviews in  App Store Brazil

Full year

2019

0

2018

7

2017

22

2016

81

 

It is not that Brazilians are shy about commenting Spotify gets hundreds, if not thousands of reviews every single day in Brazil, mostly five stars (it’s quite hard work just to scroll down to get to the previous day). This shows that not only does Akazoo not seem to operate in Brazil – when it did, it abysmally failed to gain traction and will have at best had a handful of subscribers.

 

Key Market Indonesia

It is still possible to subscribe to Akazoo in Indonesia at time of writing. And yes, there was a stream of comments (often even multiple comments on the same day) on the Play Store during 2016 and 2017, carrying into the first months of 2018 when clearly there was some attempt to promote the service in the country. Since then things have clearly tapered off – the last comment dates back to 27th May 2019, being the final of only five comments that year.

While much of this historic activity was likely paid for (the comments rarely say anything useful – typically 5* and “OK good”), this suggests that, unlike in all the other “key” markets, genuine attempts were made to establish the service in Indonesia. It is also worth noting that the Spotify app continues getting approximately 100 comments every single day on the Indonesian store (less than in Brazil but still many multiples of Akazoo at its peak activity in 2016). Unfortunately, these attempts have been abandoned over a year ago and the resulting drop in activity suggests that they were ultimately unsuccessful in building any sort of brand or growing user base.

Indonesia is one of the rare markets where it is also possible to find Akazoo mentioned by music distributors as one of the services onto which they can help artists upload their music. However, far from the “first-mover advantage” claimed by Akazoo, it tends to be mentioned as an afterthought a long way down the list along with other obscure services. For example, Netrilis (https://www.netrilis.com/p/daftar-toko-musik-digital.html ), an established Indonesian music distributor, lists Akazoo as the 41st out of 50 on its list of services it works with. It is also the second last of the numerous streaming services listed. The top 5 are iTunes/ Apple, Amazon, Spotify, Deezer and Tidal. We therefore have evidence from both the user side and the supplier side that while Akazoo Indonesia does exist, it has made no impact in the country.

 

Key Market Malaysia

Akazoo did claim a partnership with Sony Ericsson in Malaysia in 2015, whereby the manufacturer preloaded its phones with Akazoo Music software. This would not have been relevant as even then Sony’s market share would have been miniscule and has declined further since.

Although Malaysia is one of the handful of markets where it is actually possible to sign up for the service, activity on the Google Play Store is negligible. The latest comment dates back to July 2017 and there is only around a dozen comments in total. Clearly Malaysians are not engaging with Akazoo via the flagship app and it cannot account for any significant number of subscribers.

We have reviewed Malaysian mobile operators’ music offerings (free data streaming if using a partner service) and much like in other countries this is a popular product: none of them seem to work with or promote Akazoo.

  • Maxis: Spotify, KKBox, Joox

  • Digi: Deezer + in-house app Digi Music in partnership with Sony/Universal

  • Celcom: Spotify, Jookx, KkBox

  • U Mobile: Spotify, Joox, Tidal, KkBox

 

 

Key Market Thailand

It is seemingly not possible to subscribe to Akazoo in Thailand even though the website has been translated into Thai. The Thai Play store shows minimal activity over the past years so it is safe to say this was never an active market.

 

Key Market Mexico

It is not possible to subscribe to Akazoo in Mexico even though the website has been translated into Spanish. The Mexican Play store shows minimal activity post 2014 (with just a handful of reviews in that year), so it is safe to say this was never an active market. Confirmation also from the year 2020 that it is not possible to register.

 

What about Africa?

No African country has been highlighted individually as a key market by Akazoo, however it is broadly described as an opportunity. Akazoo verifiably has a relationship with MTN Cyprus, providing the backbone to their MTN Music+ Service.

MTN is an established, if controversial[8][9][10], pan-African mobile operator. Cyprus is MTN’s smallest market where it has 500,000 subscribers. It would have been an opportunity for Akazoo if it were able to become the streaming partner of choice for MTN – something they certainly tried to do with activities in Ghana and Cameroon. It is possible that there were some revenues for Akazoo from providing a white label service to MTN Ghana, however these together with MTN Cyprus would be described as partnerships with local operators and have to account for less than 20% of total Akazoo revenues.

Unfortunately, MTN has decided to acquire another streaming platform called Simfy in 2018 and seemingly use it to replace its MTN Music+ Service with MusicTime. This was first launched in South Africa[11], then Nigeria[12].

 

Knowledge of Emerging Markets?

A claimed advantage of Akazoo is an intimate knowledge and AI processing of local music tastes. This ostensibly allows them to stream local artists who let them do it at lower cost than global artists. To illustrate this, they present the following:

Corporate Presentation filed with SEC, pg. 10

 

Let’s pause for a minute on the “Top 5 Artists on Akazoo in Brazil”, which is an example of a huge potential market with a dynamic local music scene – and the fastest growing for Akazoo according to this presentation.

Anyone with a modicum of music history knowledge will recognize the top two artists in the list as giants of the Bossa Nova movement which was huge during the 50s and 60s. This music went global with Frank Sinatra and Stan Getz among many others to record their songs. We hear it in various forms to this day in elevators and chill-out bars around the world. To suggest that young Brazilians primarily stream Bossa Nova on their phones today is akin to saying Americans mainly listen to Elvis and Frank Sinatra while the British primarily stream Beatles classics. To summarize these top 5:

 

1

Antonio Carlos Jobim

Bossa Nova, Big in 60s

Died 1994

2

Vinicius de Moraes

Bossa Nova, Big in 60s

Died 1980

3

Elis Regina

Bossa Nova, Big in 60s

Died 1982

4

Gilberto Gil

Big in 70s - 80s

77 yrs old

5

Marisa Monte

Big in 90s

52 yrs old

 

Brazil does have a huge music market today with young artists and music styles. It is absolutely impossible that a representative sample of the Brazilian online population would stream primarily these relics of history. It is also impossible that anyone with even a bit of local music knowledge would guess that any of these were anywhere near the top streamed artists between 2015 and 2018 in Brazil.

A brief look at the other “markets” top artists shows somewhat more plausible results although again, Russian top stream, the band TaTu was dissolved in 2011 and was largely famous internationally for risqué videos: they definitely would not have been the top streamed artist between 2015-2018 in Russia.

It appears therefore that these lists have been compiled without any access to local knowledge or information as would be expected from a popular music platform.

 

Alleged copyrights violations

Music streaming companies typically purchase music (along with territorial copyrights) from large music distributors. We checked with Sony Music, from which Akazoo has purchased the full catalog for redistribution. Surprisingly, despite claiming to be active in 25 countries, Akazoo has purchased from Sony copyrights valid for only five countries, namely Greece, Cyprus, Poland, Ghana and Malaysia. Obviously, this creates some worrying question marks: has Akazoo exaggerated the number of countries from where it is operating? Has the Greek company been distributing music in certain countries in breach of copyrights[13][14] (a breach that typically carries very expensive fines)?

For example, we know that Akazoo’s service is currently active (if barely used) in Indonesia and has been active in Singapore, Thailand. According to our investigation, Akazoo has no rights to distribute Sony music in these territories and hence may be exposed to serious repercussions.

 

Ties with former frauds and alleged frauds

In October 2015, QCM exposed total fraud occurring at “Globo Plc”, a Greek company listed in the UK: the company had committed fraud fabricating fake revenue through fictitious invoices issued by shell companies.

In 2013, Greek company “Velti Plc” collapsed after a large part of its receivables turned out to be bogus. The stock was delisted and the company filed for bankruptcy in the US. A number of class action lawsuits alleged that the company committed securities fraud. What does this have to do with Akazoo? Just a simple LinkedIn search shows that almost a quarter of Akazoo’s workforce was formerly employed at either Globo or Velti. Akazoo’s CEO, for example, was a former senior manager at Velti. We believe that many of the issues we highlighted at Akazoo (e.g. large, unexplained receivables, negative free cash flow generation, absence of income tax) echo the situation at Velti and Globo, so we find it disturbing that the Company is led by and has employed a large number of individuals originating from those two problem companies.

 

 

 

The curious case of Solutions System Touchmedia a.k.a Veoo Malaysia

On InternetQ’s (Akazoo former parent company) 2013 annual report, we find the following text disclosing the company’s related party’s transactions:

InternetQ was then doing business with a Malaysian company (Touchmedia) “related to the Group’s CEO Panagiotis Dimitropoulos” for the provision of the following services:

  • Monthly billing of Malaysia operators

  • Collection of Revenue from Malaysian operators

We find it disturbing that a company whose accounts have been questioned as suspicious, was using for its billing and revenue collection a payment processing firm that is “related” to its CEO. Clearly, the control of a payment processor could enable a dishonest management to alter the accounts and provide a less than truthful picture of the financial situation of the company. Although, this situation relates to InternetQ, not necessarily Akazoo, given the close ties between the two companies we cannot ignore it.

Conclusion

The overwhelming evidence we have presented in this report suggests a grim picture for the true nature and prospects of this company. Financial and numerical analysis, size of workforce, reduction of staff and office space, all point to a small and rapidly shrinking company. How can we reconcile this with the claimed revenue and growth rate boasted by the Akazoo?

Based on the circumstantial evidence we presented, we believe there that Akazoo may be dramatically inflating revenue figures using a combination of payment processors and shell companies in third countries. These shell companies might pose as partners/resellers/vendors and issue fake invoices to Akazoo.

These transactions might well evade the auditors’ checks as they would originate in countries outside of the company’s domicile (e.g. Indonesia, Malysia, Cyprus). Similarly, the Company might hide any cash shortfall by inflating costs, especially cost of goods sold ($100m in 2019) and investments in intangible assets ($11m in 2019). The former consists primarily in royalties paid to music label companies. We hypothesize that Akazoo might have either colluded with, or outright fabricated, small music label companies that generate fictitious cost invoice for non-existing music streams.

If this opinion proves correct, Akazoo might be orders of magnitude smaller than it claims, with a tiny and shrinking revenue base and a yearly loss of approximately $4m/year[15].

 

Akazoo’s bitter destiny would likely resemble the one of Velti and Globo, the companies that used to employ so many of its staff: 100% loss for shareholders, bankruptcy and class action lawsuits.

It is small wonder then that one of the founders of Akazoo seems to express his concerns through his music choices – note the names in the picture below of the last two songs he has been listening to… Dimitri: it’s time to come clean!

 

 

 

A WARNING TO AKAZOO’S MANAGEMENT TEAM

We are entitled to express our opinion and you are entitled to respond to our serious allegations. However, should you instead choose to threaten legal action against us, we will respond with ferocious aggressiveness. We have the experience, the legal talent and the financial resources to conduct a protracted legal battle, if necessary. We will use our right to depose your employees as witnesses and subpoena your internal documents in order to further prove our thesis.

When our most recent target, the Italian fraud Bio-on S.p.A., dared to falsely accuse us of defamation, we responded immediately by filing a 120-page criminal complaint against the company at the public prosecutor, substantiated by one of Italy’s most acclaimed business school professors. As a result of our action, the company’s management was arrested less than ten days later. Consider yourselves warned.

 

 

[2]In virtually all cases our theses have been confirmed by official inquiries. In several cases, the management of the target companies and/or the board of directors has been dismissed. In two cases, the companies ceased to exist weeks after our intervention.

[3] Page 10 – Akazoo 20-F

[4] Akazoo claims to use sell its services also through platforms controlled by Telcos (e.g. MTN) and other partnerships, the users originating from these collaborations would not show up in these statistics. However, Akazoo states on its official filings that such collaborations do not represent more than 20% of its user base: “Akazoo has enjoyed success employing this strategy throughout the world as up to an estimated 20% of its total user and subscriber base is derived from these partnerships.” [SEC prospectus, page 149, top]

[5] Based on a LinkedIn search of employees with the same names.

[6] We asked the reception at the entrance of the building where is the Akazoo office. He indicated the 4th floor of the building (InternetQ’s headquarters).

[7] Although the sign says “InternetQ” and not “Akazoo”, a former employee as well as the building’s concierge indicated that it was indeed Akazoo’s office.

[8] MTN $5.2 billion fine - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org › wiki › MTN_$5.2_billion_fine

[9] https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-50952001

[10] https://www.financeuncovered.org/investigations/mtns-8bn-illegal-foreign-exchange-scandal/

[11] https://www.itweb.co.za/content/dgp45qaGW1r7X9l8

[12] https://techpoint.africa/2019/11/04/mtn-nigeria-launches-musictime/

[13] Another alternative may be that Akazoo is buying copyrights for different geographical areas from different firms, though it is not clear why they would do that.

[14] Note that many of the countries where Akazoo claims to operate from are not in the Sony list of copyrights.

[15] This has been estimated by annualizing the company’s 2019 free cash flow shortfall.

 

 

 

I do not hold a position with the issuer such as employment, directorship, or consultancy.
I and/or others I advise hold a material investment in the issuer's securities.

Catalyst

Activist intervention by Quintessential Capital Management

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